Sydney House Prices 30/08/15: Average 3 bedroom house now sells for $1,229.523 (down 0.09%)

Stats as per usual

House	Type		Total Sample	Average	Min	Max	Confidence	Change
Average	2 Bedroom House		417	1,144,773.21	1,104,732.97	1,184,813.45	40040.24411	-0.94%
	3 Bedroom House		1605	1,229,523.66	1,205,237.08	1,253,810.23	24286.57627	-0.09%
	4 Bedroom House		1225	1,437,893.35	1,402,356.78	1,473,429.92	35536.57182	0.61%
Unit	Type			Average	Min	Max	Confidence
	2 Bedroom Unit		1114	824,804.17	805,534.22	844,074.13	19,269.95	-0.08%
	3 Bedroom Unit		454	1,132,433.48	1,084,504.28	1,180,362.68	47,929.20	1.23%

Sydney House Prices 23/08/2015: Average 3 bedroom house now sells for $1,230,604 (down 0.06%)

Stats for this week

House	Type		Total Sample	Average	Min	Max	Confidence	Change
Average	2 Bedroom House		376	1,155,660.24	1,112,996.57	1,198,323.91	42663.67184	-0.60%	1,162,640.26
	3 Bedroom House		1489	1,230,604.08	1,205,322.54	1,255,885.61	25281.53473	-0.06%	1,231,295.84
	4 Bedroom House		1128	1,429,192.86	1,392,417.64	1,465,968.09	36775.22107	0.19%	1,426,523.12
Unit	Type			Average	Min	Max	Confidence
	2 Bedroom Unit		1033	825,462.58	805,222.84	845,702.33	20,239.74	0.36%	770,000.00
	3 Bedroom Unit		420	1,118,651.91	1,069,159.87	1,168,143.94	49,492.04	0.30%	995,000.00

Sydney House Prices 16/08/2015: Average 3 bedroom house now sells for $1,231,295 (down 0.01%)

Stats as per normal

House	Type		Total Sample	Average	Min	Max	Confidence	Change
Average	2 Bedroom House		346	1,162,640.26	1,117,331.37	1,207,949.15	45308.89073	0.37%
	3 Bedroom House		1401	1,231,295.84	1,204,949.02	1,257,642.66	26346.82143	-0.01%
	4 Bedroom House		1051	1,426,523.12	1,388,093.87	1,464,952.37	38429.24977	-0.14%

Noses in the trough..Part 2. Libs, Nats and Greens the worst when it comes to expenses

Some further stats around the entitlements in the commonwealth. I calculated expenses by Party and compared each Parties representation in the members claiming vs the % of the total entitlement claimed. In theory, if it were fair, each parties % of entitlement would be equal to its % of representation. Not the case however. Here are the summary stats.


Labor is surprisingly good. Liberal, Nats (including CLP), Greens and Bob Katter less so.

Party	Entitlement by Party	% of Total Entitlement	Number of Party Members claiming	% of Total Members  Claiming	Amount Parties are overcharging based on representation
Labor	$16,740,241.80	36.6244%	121	39.29%	-2.6614%
Liberal	$20,510,946.47	44.8739%	133	43.18%	1.6921%
National	$4,218,421.62	9.2291%	24	7.79%	1.4369%
Greens	$2,143,832.66	4.6903%	13	4.22%	0.4695%
PUP	$153,528.00	0.3359%	3	0.97%	-0.6381%
CLP	$820,938.72	1.7961%	3	0.97%	0.8220%
Independent	$723,609.52	1.5831%	7	2.27%	-0.6896%
AUS	$334,340.72	0.7315%	1	0.32%	0.4068%
AMEP	$12,520.18	0.0274%	1	0.32%	-0.2973%
FFP	$29,056.29	0.0636%	1	0.32%	-0.2611%
LDP	$20,517.37	0.0449%	1	0.32%	-0.2798%
Total Members			308
Total Entitlements			$  45,707,953.35
Average Entitlement			$        148,402.45

Who has their nose in the trough: An Analysis of Australian Federal Members Entitlements

Been looking over the Federal Govenment's Entitlements that were provided by The Guardian Australia Website.


I collated all the expenses to get an idea of which members claim the most. The top 10 list is below (not the collated stats included flights, charters, Electoral Business expense, travel expenses from 2011 - 2014


And we have the top 10.

SNOWDON Warren	529652.27	NT	Labor
SCULLION Nigel	495887.16	NT	CLP
TRUSS Warren	484990.23	QLD	National
BISHOP Julie	464470.99	WA	Liberal
GRAY Gary	435525.4	WA	Labor
CORMANN Mathias	421243.8	WA	Liberal
MACDONALD Ian	406051.84	QLD	Liberal
JOYCE Barnaby	382486.5	NSW	National
SIEWERT Rachel	381147.5	WA	Greens
DUTTON Peter	375724.51	QLD	Liberal

 

Australian/NZ Netflix Subscribers. Total Members likely to be only 581,500

Lots of numbers floating about the Australian media about Netflix Subscribers in Australia and how there are over 1.4 million Netflix Subscribers over the last three months. I think this is absolute rubbish. When you think there are only around 8,000,000 households in Australia, that would mean a market penetration of 17.5%...which is a lot for a luxury item, especially when Foxtel only has around 30% of the market (being around for a while and has the advantage of sport)


So I decided to do my own analysis. Firstly I downloaded the quarterly International Streaming total members numbers published in the financial reports of Netflix since 2011. (Since Australian/NZ data would appear in that segment


I then calculated the increases in each period, found the 4 quarter moving average and seasonally adjusted the data to get the Seasonally Adjusted Data Set. Produces the data set below.

	Raw	Increase	Average	Residual	Average Residual Seasonal	SA Series
2015.1	20877	2600	2048.5	551.5	390.625	2209.375
2014.4	18277	2434	1836.75	597.25	448.6875	1985.313
2014.3	15843	2042	1663.75	378.25	149.7291667	1892.271
2014.2	13801	1118	1513.5	-395.5	-311.5	1429.5
2014.1	12683	1753	1385.25	367.75	390.625	1362.375
2013.4	10930	1742	1202.25	539.75	448.6875	1293.313
2013.3	9188	1441	1219.25	221.75	149.7291667	1291.271
2013.2	7747	605	1030.75	-425.75	-311.5	916.5
2013.1	7142	1021	1019.25	1.75	390.625	630.375
2012.4	6121	1810	1065.75	744.25	448.6875	1361.313
2012.3	4311	687	707.75	-20.75	149.7291667	537.2708
2012.2	3624	559	664.25	-105.25	-311.5	870.5
2012.1	3065	1207	565.5	641.5	390.625	816.375
2011.4	1858	378	464.5	-86.5	448.6875	-70.6875
2011.3	1480	513	493.3333	19.66667	149.7291667	363.2708
2011.2	967	164	483.5	-319.5	-311.5	475.5
2011.1	803	803	803	0

Finding the trend on that SA Series, (y = 119.86x+66.431) gives you a SA increase for 2015. Q2 of 2,104,000 subscribers





However, we need to remove the seasonal adjustment of that (by adding back the Q2 average residual),which results in a raw increase  of 1,792,551 subscribers.


As the 2015.Q1 International Subscribers (this includes paid and un payed) was reported as 20,877,000 members, that means that based on the trend there should be 22,669,550 International Subscribers of Netflix at the end of 2015.Q2


Note: As Australia/NZ Netflix only started in Q2, 2015, we can make the assumption that any difference in the trend Subscriber numbers and the raw subscriber numbers (from the Q2 report) will be from Australia and NZ (as no other international division started during that period.)


From the Q2.2015 financial report, the international members of Netflix are reported as 23,251,000 members.


So based on those figures, we have Australian/NZ Netflix subscribers to be 581,500 (23,251,000 - 22,669,550). A good number for three months, but no where near the 1.4 members being thrown about in the press.


Don't believe everything you read.

Sydney House Prices 9/8/15: Average 3 bedroom house now sells for $1,231,477 (up 0.45%)

Still a bit of heat in the 2/3 bedroom house ranges.

Type		Total Sample	Average	Min	Max	Confidence	Change
2 Bedroom House		322	1,158,353.45	1,112,350.11	1,204,356.79	46003.34111	0.45%
3 Bedroom House		1289	1,231,477.27	1,204,218.43	1,258,736.11	27258.84215	0.43%
4 Bedroom House		966	1,428,586.75	1,388,030.07	1,469,143.43	40556.68236	-0.06%