Time to update the companies again (Revenue figures in AUD $ from the ATO)
- IBM Revenue continues to fall off a cliff. Hard to believe that 10 years ago, they had revenues of over $4 billion a year
- Accenture now the leading IT Service Provider in Australia
- Fujitsu has improved
Been looking at the whole Trans thing lately and I was wondering if there is a way to work out how many kids are on puberty blockers in Australia for Gender Dysphoria.
Stats are few and far between so we might have to extrapolate a bit.
Firstly, prior to 2013, a family court hearing was required to start children on Puberty blockers for under 18's. Post 2013 however, as long as parents and doctors agreed, it was permitted without court approval. If we assume a transition period for the case to work its way through the medical community, we can estimate say that the use of Puberty blockers for Gender Dsyphoria started in Australia in 2015, that provides a a starting date.
In regards to how many kids get prescribed puberty blockers in Australia, only WA and QLD provide info.
WA - 20 kids between Jan 1 and Oct 31 2025 (so that would be extrapolated to 24 for the full year). WA has approx. 194,789 kids between 10 and 14 in 2026 (extrapolated from 2016/2021 census growth), so we can say that the rate of prescription is 0.012% a year
QLD - 491 kids between 2020 -2025. So that is an average of 99 a year. QLD has approx. 389359 kids between 10 and 14 in 2026 (extrapolated from 2016/2021 census growth. So we can day the rate of prescription is 0.025% a year
If we take an average of those two, we get an Australian wide current average of 0.019%. If you apply that to the Australian number of kids aged 10-14 (1,805,012 (2026)), we have the numbers being 341 kids a year Australia wide are prescriber Puberty Blockers per year.
But that is at the current rate. If we assumed no kids were prescribed until 2014, there is 11 years of yearly prescriptions to get to 341 prescriptions. If a assume a linear rate of growth of (341/12 = 31 cases a year we have the following scheduled
2015 - 31
2016 - 62
2017 - 93
2018 - 124
2019 - 155
2020 - 186
2021 - 217
2022 - 248
2023 - 279
2024 - 310
2025 - 341
Adding that up, that gives us a grand total of 2046 kids who have been prescribed Puberty Blockers over the last 11 years.
As a percentage of kids between 10-14 Australia, that works out to be 0.11% A pretty small percentage.
If we assume that 0.09% of kids suffer from Gender Dysphoria (estimates from the ABS), that means of 16,245 GD kids in 2025, 2046 kids have been prescribed Puberty blockers for treatment, which is around 12.6%. Which does match estimates from the US.
Just been looking through the budget on housing...some dodgy ass stuff happening
The Labor government has raided the National Housing Infrastructure Fund (which was set up in 2017) to help pay for its housing initiative. However the fund was set up for infrastructure funding to local governments, not to create housing itself. Over $1 billion over the 4 years forward estimates.
Its all smoke and mirrors with Labor...
We have the following in trouble and who need to win convincing in their final games to have a chance to get through.
Belgium - (2nd Ranked Team) - 39% chance of going through
Argentina (3rd Ranked Team) - 44% chance of going through
Denmark (10th Ranked Team) - 28% chance of getting through to the next round. Is playing Australia though
Germany (11th Ranked Team) - 22% chance of getting through
Mexico (13th Ranked Team) - 22% chance of getting through
USA (16th Ranked Team) - 33% chance of getting through
Senegal (18th Ranked Team) - 39% chance of getting through
Wales (19th Ranked Team) - 15% chance of getting through
Doing my standard calculations of the Groups of Death. Based on my methodology of finding the variance of the top 3 in each group added to the variance of the 2nd and 3rd ranked teams we have the following in order of deadliest to safest
Group B (England, USA, Wales, Iran)
Group E (Spain, Germany, Japan, Costa Rica)
Group G (Brazil, Switzerland, Serbia, Cameroon)
Group F (Belgium, Croatia, Morocco, Canada)
Group H (Portugal, Uruguay, South Korea, Ghana)
Group C (Argentina, Mexico, Poland, Saudi Arabia)
Group D (France, Denmark, Tunisia, Australia)
Group A (Netherlands, Senegal, Ecuador, Qatar)
So no real surprise that Germany was beaten by Japan (Germany is ranked 11th, Japan, 24th...but Argentina (3) losing to Saudi Arabia(51) was a real shock.
But England (5) have some real danger games against Wales (19) and USA (16)
Read with interest that Albanese wants to increase the minimum wage by 5.1% if he becomes PM. So many things wrong with this.
1. Its not up to the Prime Minister. Minimum wage decisions are decided by Fair Work Commission which is supposed to be apolitical
2. If 5.1% got up, it would be the 6th highest increase since 1980, and the highest since 2006.
3. Inflation is already starting to climb. If you add a 5.1% increase to the minimum wage, you are basically guaranteeing increased inflation.
4. The largest increases in the minimum wage correlate to recessions a few years later. The increases in 1988 (9.1% across the year), 1989 (7.6% across the year) resulted in the Recession in 1991. The increase in 2004 (7.9%) and 2006 (5.6%) resulted in the GFC in 2008.
Lets hope this never gest up. Because if it does, Albo will be steering the ship with another "Recession we had to have" arrives.
