Victorian Total Fire Ban Days - Average of 10 per year, increasing at 1 day extra 10 years

Following my theme of "Does the hype of Climate Change match the stats", I give you the Total Fire Ban days in Victoria, Australia. With all the talk of climate risk etc, you would think that the Total Fire Ban days are getting a lot more plentiful. Well lets see.

Downloading data from the CFA in Victoria, one of the few agencies that publish data on this, we have the following since 1945. 30 year average is 10 days a year at the moment.

There is a fair bit of volitility here...It does show an increase, but the increase is basically 1 extra TFB day every 10 years...So to get to an average of 20 days, its going to take 100 years.

Something to watch, but not to panic about.