Was watching "I'm a Celebrity, get me out of me", and one of the women there (reality TV star from "The Bachelor", Laurina Fleure) mentioned that she believes 70% of women in Australia have Breast Implants. Big call. She might just be saying that as she has them, but even so 7 in 10! Anyway, being a stats man, and interested in breasts, I was wondering if this is true so started to investigate. There are no statistics for Breast Augmentation surgery in Australia, so the best we can go on is an international survey by the name of the "ISAPS International Survey on Aesthetic/Cosmetic stats for 2014" Using these stats, I was able to calculate the average number of Breast Augmentations done per plastic surgeon in the top 10 countries performing the surgery (which is approximately 74 per year) As Australia has 317 Plastic surgeons, that means there are approx. 23,400 Breast Augmentations done in 2014 in Australia. Now as Breast Augmentation is ...
Been looking at the whole Trans thing lately and I was wondering if there is a way to work out how many kids are on puberty blockers in Australia for Gender Dysphoria. Stats are few and far between so we might have to extrapolate a bit. Firstly, prior to 2013, a family court hearing was required to start children on Puberty blockers for under 18's. Post 2013 however, as long as parents and doctors agreed, it was permitted without court approval. If we assume a transition period for the case to work its way through the medical community, we can estimate say that the use of Puberty blockers for Gender Dsyphoria started in Australia in 2015, that provides a a starting date. In regards to how many kids get prescribed puberty blockers in Australia, only WA and QLD provide info. WA - 20 kids between Jan 1 and Oct 31 2025 (so that would be extrapolated to 24 for the full year). WA has approx. 194,789 kids between 10 and 14 in 2026 (extrapolated from 2016/2021 census growth), ...
The Goatameter is reporting some upturn in the economic conditions over the last month. Therefore there will be less incentive for the Reserve to do anything to rates today. Though who knows with this board. I was wrong last month. I predicted a cut, but the board adopted a wait and see approach. Which goes back to the basic conservativism of the board. If you look back to all the decisions made by the board since 1990, if you predicted "No change" for every monthly board meeting, you would have been right the majority of the time. Out of 264 board meetings, there has only been a change to rates 60 times. So if you predicted "No change" you would have been right around 77% of the time (though only running at 60% since March). That's equal to my Goatameter's run so far (which is also 60% since March, but a lot more time consuming to calculate) The wonders of forecasting. As my favourite forecaster implies (J Scott Armstrong if you must know), you can have t...
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