Australia's potential INCEL group - increase of 2.37% of single males 20-29 in 10 years

The INCEL movement (or involuntary celibate movement) has been getting a lot of press lately due to the fact the group is prone to violent undertakings against women.


So being the good little statistician, I was wondering what was the likely hood that we had some of this movement in Australia.


According to most reporting on the group, the INCEL movement is most active in the 20-29 male age group that are not married or in de facto relationships (as most sex actually happens in steady/stable relationships)


So based on those criteria, and the ABS census information of 2006,2011 and 2016, we have the following results


There has in fact been a large increase in this grouping. In 2006, the % of 20-29 males not in a stable de facto or Married relationship was at 59.54%


By 2016, this group had increased 2.37% to 61.91% That 2.37% means an additional 38K potentially sexually frustrated young men in the mix. Compare that to the group of unmarried females in that same age group, which has only increased by 1.77% over that same time period, from 51.52% to 53.29%


That is quite a large differential between the un marrieds in the age group. And the danger is that because older men (with more resources) also compete for the 20-29 unmarried females, the 20-29 males are even more likely to be left without sex.


Food for thought!