Doing my standard calculations of the Groups of Death. Based on my methodology of finding the variance of the top 3 in each group added to the variance of the 2nd and 3rd ranked teams we have the following in order of deadliest to safest
Group B (England, USA, Wales, Iran)
Group E (Spain, Germany, Japan, Costa Rica)
Group G (Brazil, Switzerland, Serbia, Cameroon)
Group F (Belgium, Croatia, Morocco, Canada)
Group H (Portugal, Uruguay, South Korea, Ghana)
Group C (Argentina, Mexico, Poland, Saudi Arabia)
Group D (France, Denmark, Tunisia, Australia)
Group A (Netherlands, Senegal, Ecuador, Qatar)
So no real surprise that Germany was beaten by Japan (Germany is ranked 11th, Japan, 24th...but Argentina (3) losing to Saudi Arabia(51) was a real shock.
But England (5) have some real danger games against Wales (19) and USA (16)
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