Is the ASX 200 overvalued?

Probably. If you believe in "Regression to the mean" based on real price levels, it would seem to indicate that a correction will occur in 2013 (especially if CPI remains low)

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Percentage of women in Australia with Breast Implants :- Maximum of 4% of female population 18+

Was watching "I'm a Celebrity, get me out of me", and one of the women there (reality TV star from "The Bachelor", Laurina Fleure) mentioned that she believes 70% of women in Australia have Breast Implants. Big call. She might just be saying that as she has them, but even so 7 in 10! Anyway, being a stats man, and interested in breasts, I was wondering if this is true so started to investigate. There are no statistics for Breast Augmentation surgery in Australia, so the best we can go on is an international survey by the name of the "ISAPS International Survey on Aesthetic/Cosmetic stats for 2014" Using these stats, I was able to calculate the average number of Breast Augmentations done per plastic surgeon in the top 10 countries performing the surgery (which is approximately 74 per year) As Australia has 317 Plastic surgeons, that means there are approx. 23,400 Breast Augmentations done in 2014 in Australia. Now as Breast Augmentation is ...
Read more

% of 10-14 year olds on Puberty Blockers in Australia - around 0.11%

 Been looking at the whole Trans thing lately and I was wondering if there is a way to work out how many kids are on puberty blockers in Australia for Gender Dysphoria. Stats are few and far between so we might have to extrapolate a bit. Firstly, prior to 2013, a family court hearing was required to start children on Puberty blockers for under 18's. Post 2013 however, as long as parents and doctors agreed, it was permitted without court approval.  If we assume a transition period for the case to work its way through the medical community, we can estimate say that the use of Puberty blockers for Gender Dsyphoria started in Australia in 2015, that provides a a starting date. In regards to how many kids get prescribed puberty blockers in Australia, only WA and QLD provide info. WA  - 20 kids between Jan 1 and Oct 31 2025 (so that would be extrapolated to 24 for the full year). WA has approx. 194,789 kids between 10 and 14 in 2026 (extrapolated from 2016/2021 census growth), ...
Read more

97% consensus in the Peer Reviewed Literature that humans are causing climate change? I'm skeptical (of the science)

Image
From the actual research (John Cook et al 2013 Environ. Res. Lett. 8 024024) I don't know how you can say that this is a 97% consensus? I would say its a 32.6% consensus of the Climate Peer Reviewed Literature that humans are responsible (in at least some way) for Global Warming.   For mine, this  survey says more about the Research dollar. That of the politically inclined or politically financed climate research; 97.1% of that is pro AGW vs 2.9% going to anti-AGW. So much for all that money being spent by Oil Companies and Big Coal in funding think tanks and the like....not getting a great return on their investment.
Read more