Been looking at the whole Trans thing lately and I was wondering if there is a way to work out how many kids are on puberty blockers in Australia for Gender Dysphoria.
Stats are few and far between so we might have to extrapolate a bit.
Firstly, prior to 2013, a family court hearing was required to start children on Puberty blockers for under 18's. Post 2013 however, as long as parents and doctors agreed, it was permitted without court approval. If we assume a transition period for the case to work its way through the medical community, we can estimate say that the use of Puberty blockers for Gender Dsyphoria started in Australia in 2015, that provides a a starting date.
In regards to how many kids get prescribed puberty blockers in Australia, only WA and QLD provide info.
WA - 20 kids between Jan 1 and Oct 31 2025 (so that would be extrapolated to 24 for the full year). WA has approx. 194,789 kids between 10 and 14 in 2026 (extrapolated from 2016/2021 census growth), so we can say that the rate of prescription is 0.012% a year
QLD - 491 kids between 2020 -2025. So that is an average of 99 a year. QLD has approx. 389359 kids between 10 and 14 in 2026 (extrapolated from 2016/2021 census growth. So we can day the rate of prescription is 0.025% a year
If we take an average of those two, we get an Australian wide current average of 0.019%. If you apply that to the Australian number of kids aged 10-14 (1,805,012 (2026)), we have the numbers being 341 kids a year Australia wide are prescriber Puberty Blockers per year.
But that is at the current rate. If we assumed no kids were prescribed until 2014, there is 11 years of yearly prescriptions to get to 341 prescriptions. If a assume a linear rate of growth of (341/12 = 31 cases a year we have the following scheduled
2015 - 31
2016 - 62
2017 - 93
2018 - 124
2019 - 155
2020 - 186
2021 - 217
2022 - 248
2023 - 279
2024 - 310
2025 - 341
Adding that up, that gives us a grand total of 2046 kids who have been prescribed Puberty Blockers over the last 11 years.
As a percentage of kids between 10-14 Australia, that works out to be 0.11% A pretty small percentage.
If we assume that 0.09% of kids suffer from Gender Dysphoria (estimates from the ABS), that means of 16,245 GD kids in 2025, 2046 kids have been prescribed Puberty blockers for treatment, which is around 12.6%. Which does match estimates from the US.
